Analysis

Leicester vs Chelsea Preview: Rodgers’ recent struggles, Potter’s plan for ball progression and betting analysis

Chelsea will look to register their tenth win of the season when they take on Leicester City in the English Premier League. The Blues have recently made it to the last eight of the UEFA Champions League. They have won their last two games in all competitions and will look to make it three wins in a row. Leicester City, on the other hand, have lost their last three league matches and will look to earn at least a point from this match. We now look at some of the stats of these two teams that could help in predicting the outcome of the match.

The Inconsistent season for both teams

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Leicester City started the season on a low but have done well to climb out of the relegation zone. THey have earned seven wins, three draws, and lost 15 matches. During these matches, the Foxes have netted 36 goals and conceded 43. The team has an average xG rate of 1.06 per match. By looking at the above pizza chart we can observe that the Foxes have a low percentile rank this season. They are ranked around average in some of the departments but have struggled in most of them.

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Chelsea’s inconsistency to produce results has kept them in tenth place on the league table. The Blues have won nine, drawn seven, and lost nine matches this season. They have only scored 24 goals and conceded 25. The Blues have an average xG rate of 1.36 per match. Chelsea have a decent percentile rank in the possession department. They have struggled elsewhere on the field, especially in the attack.

Leicester City’s recent struggles

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

The Foxes have lost their touch recently and have lost their last three matches. Leicester City have failed to score a goal in these matches and conceded five. Brendan Rodgers’ men average 26.28 positional attacks and 2.28 counterattacks this season. They take 9.92 shots and manage to hit the target with an accuracy rate of 36.7%. In the last three matches, Leicester City have attempted 31 shots and only three have been on target. They have failed to hit the target in the last two matches and this is the biggest concern for the manager.

Chelsea’s attacking display

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Chelsea will look to make it two wins in a row in the English Premier League. The Blues earned a narrow 1-0 victory in the last match against Leeds United. Chelsea were a threat on the counter in the last match and created five in total. They were effective from the centre. Overall, the Blues average 30.24 positional attacks and 2.08 counterattacks per match. They take 11 shots and hit the target 33.1% of the times.

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Chelsea likes to progress with the ball from both flanks. The Blues have equal quality on both sides of the field. In the last three matches, Chelsea attacked from all three sides. They only got results in the last game but struggled in the other two games. Leicester City will have to deal with these threats.

Key players
Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Joao Felix is one of the most trusted sources for Potter’s Chelsea when it comes to scoring goals. The Portuguese international has added goal-scoring hunger and that has driven his teammates to add more goals to their tally. Felix has scored one goal in his five English Premier League appearances. He will look to add more in this match.

Leicester City vs Chelsea Preview: English Premier League 2022-23 Data, Stats, Analysis and Scout report

Enzo Fernandez has also been a great addition to Chelsea’s midfield. The 22-year-old has featured in five league games from Chelsea and has an assist to his name. He is responsible for linking the defence and the attack. The midfielder progresses the ball by distributing the ball to different ends of the attacking third. He will be looking to find space in Leicester City’s defence.

Team news

Youri Tielemans is once again expected to miss the match for the Foxes. Harvey Barnes was taken off at halftime in the last match. He is a doubt for this match. Victor Kristiansen is another player who is expected to be out for this match.

Chelsea will still be without N’Golo Kante and Cesar Azpilicueta.

Betting analysis

According to the 1×2 betting odds, Chelsea are the favourites to win the match. They have an odds rate of around 2.02 to win the match. Leicester City are the least favourites to win the match. The Foxes are on a poor run of form lately. As for the over/under lines, the Blues have failed to score goals consistently and there are more chances of under-goals than over-goals.

Chelsea will look to win back-to-back matches when they face Leicester City. The Blues are finding their rhythm and have made it to the next round of the UEFA Champions League. However, Leicester City won’t allow them to take three points that easily and this can turn out to be a tight game as well.

Visuals via Wyscout and the TFA data viz engine