We look at a few stats to predict the match.
A few recent win-less performances have seen Brighton slip down to eighth on the table, but their valiant effort to come back from behind and secure a point against Liverpool would certainly boost their confidence and morale of the side. Graham Potter would look to get his team back to winning ways, and relegation-threatened Newcastle in front of the home crowd feels like the correct opportunity.
The Seagulls have been one of the most balanced sides in the league and tactically very adept and flexible. However, they have failed to win any of their last five matches with four draws and a loss. From an xG of 13.95, Brighton have scored 11 goals so far, underperforming their metric currently, and only four goals in the last five outings have heavily affected this. Neal Maupay has been their highest scorer who sat out the game against Liverpool last weekend.
Things have not looked great for Newcastle this season. Steve Bruce has left the club already, and they find themselves in 19th position in the league, with no wins so far. The Magpies need to turn around a lot of things, but an in-form Brighton challenge probably comes in too quickly for them to react.
Newcastle have scored 11 goals so far from an xG of 12.00. They have been nearly at par with their metric, whereas it has been their defense that has caused them so many problems. However, six of these goals have come in the last five matches, and they have scored in all of them except the 0-3 loss to Chelsea last weekend. Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin still pose a lot of threats in front of the goal.
The Seagulls boast one of the most well-drilled defenses in the league. They have conceded 11 goals so far, fewer than their expected metric of 12.07-the fourth lowest in the league. Robert Sanchez, in between the sticks has been impressive.
On the other hand, Newcastle have the highest xGA of 20.42 and have overperformed, as well as conceding 23 goals, the second-most in the league. It has been their defense that has caused Magpies the most problems even when they have tried to play in a defensive setup to keep it safe at the back. It will be a huge task for them to keep Brighton at bay, who are swift in finding spaces while going forward and creating chances.
We predict a comfortable 2-1 victory for the hosts.