Arsenal will look to extend their lead at the top of the table when they face relegation-threatened Everton in the English Premier League. Both teams meet for the second time in a month, with Everton getting the better of their opponents in their last match. Now as the teams look to achieve their goals, we look at some of the stats that could predict the outcome of the match.
Arsenal sits at the top of the table with 18 wins, three draws, and three losses. The Gunners have netted 52 goals and conceded 23 in total. They have an average xG rate of 1.84 per match. The above pizza chart shows the percentile rank of the team in comparison to other teams in the English Premier League. Arsenal are ranked highly for attacking and possession stats. Mikel Arteta’s team does not rely on crosses and likes to rotate the ball on the ground.
Everton sits 18th in the league table with five wins, six draws, and 13 losses. The Toffees have scored the fewest goals. They have only netted 17 goals and average 1.12 xG per match. Their defence has conceded 32 goals. Everton have struggled in every department. Their pizza chart also indicates that their stats have been poor this season and they are ranked below average.
A narrow win for Everton
Sean Dyche started his spell as an Everton manager with a 1-0 win over Arsenal at Goodison Park. Arsenal were left frustrated by Everton’s sturdy defence.
Arsenal had 69.73% of the ball possession in that match. They created 41 positional attacks and attempted ten shots from these attacks. Overall, the Gunners attempted 14 shots, but only four were on target. They failed to get near the opposition’s six-yard box and failed to create enough threats despite creating these many attacks. Arsenal’s average is 34.8 positional attacks and 14.42 shots (a 35.9% accuracy rate) per match. They will look to get the better of their opponents in this match.
Everton scored their only goal of the match from a set piece. They created 25 positional attacks and attempted 11 shots in the match. Everton managed to hit the target twice, with a goal coming from inside the six-yard box. The Toffees average 25.58 positional attacks and 9.13 shots per match. Sean Dyche’s men maintained a tight defensive line and won the match.
Key players
Gabriel Martinelli netted Arsenal’s winner against Leicester City in the last match. After failing to score in six matches, the Brazilian has netted two goals in the last two matches. He has taken his overall tally to nine goals and will be hungry to get into double figures when he faces a struggling Everton side.
Team news
Thomas Partey is likely to return to the starting lineup after missing a few matches through injury. There is a chance that Mikel Arteta might start with the same front three that he used in the last match.
Everton will still be without Dominic Calvert-Lewin for this match.
Betting analysis
As per the 1×2 betting odds, Arsenal are the favourites to win this match. They have an odds rate of around 1.33. Everton got the better of their opponents in the last game, but their odds rate is high at around 9.8 in this match. The match is likely to go in Arsenal’s favour. As for the over/under lines, the odds rate for over 2.5 goals is 1.88. Arsenal scores more than two goals per match and concedes nearly one. There are chances that they might find space in Everton’s defence this time and score more goals.
Arsenal are the likely winner in this match. They have better stats and are serious contenders for winning the English Premier League title. Everton, on the other hand, will look to stop the Gunners. However, it won’t be easy for them to contain this attack once again this season.
Visuals via Wyscout and the TFA data viz engine