Newcastle v West Ham: Betting Preview
Last season the hosts collected only 49 points and finished 11th in the classification table. Now as of Feb 4th 2023, Newcastle United already collected 39 points, and they are 3rd in the table, right above Manchester United!
Newcastle certainly is living better days than they have in their recent past. West Ham, on the other hand, is living a very dark season, with just 17 points collected so far, and 1 point clear of Bournemouth which would be relegated if the English Premier League ended today as they are 18th in the table while West Ham is 16th.
Such as contrast in the table positions always produces strong handicaps in normal circumstances and huge imbalances in the odds of hosts and visitors in the 1×2 betting markets.
Let’s see how this translates in the betting markets as numbers and probabilities as well as opportunities to profit with valuable odds!
Some may have expected bigger odds than the 1×2 current market prices of 1.63 for a victory of the hosts in the decimal system.
The market may be saying here that the absence of hosts players including Bruno Guimarães could be a problem for Newcastle.
The odds for a draw are 3.75 on average in the 1×2 market, and the odds for a victory for the London side are 5.40 on average.
The Asian Handicap has odds of -3/4 @1.83 for Newcastle, which means the market does expect the victory of the hosts, and a speculative bet on the visitors to hold a draw and collect a point would deliver a profit of 111% on average, with just a half loss in case the hosts beat them by a one-goal advantage.
The market however has low odds and lines of over/under 2.25 @1.88/2.02 on average in the goals market, which reflects the stats of the hosts and the visitors in terms of how many goals the games of both sides have produced so far this season.
If we check the last 5 home games (EPL) of Newcastle, the numbers indeed explain the odds as we had three 1-0 results in their 5 home valid for the Prem. Also, only 1 out of 5 games produced more than 1 goal since October when the game against Aston Villa produced 4 goals.
EPL Analysis: Betting Previews Coverage (Round 22)
Starting with this round we’re covering all games of the week of the EPL with match previews.
Check out other interesting links for the Saturday and Sunday matches below
Everton – Arsenal: Betting Preview
Aston Villa – Leicester: Betting Preview
Brentford – Southampton: Betting Preview
Man Utd v Crystal Palace: Betting Preview
Wolves – Liverpool: Betting Preview
EPL Analysis Betting Guides
Are you new to sports betting? Then check our special new guides about beginner’s markets like the 1×2 match result market, as well as more advanced markets like the Draw no Bet market.
EPL Analysis: 1×2 Betting Guide
Did you know that most people calculate DNB (Draw no Bet) odds wrongly in the recreational market of bets?
Check out our fresh guide about the subject, and bet with prime, exclusive knowledge to bring home that big win that you’ve been chasing for a while!
EPL Analysis: DNB Betting Guide