Brighton v Bournemouth: Betting Preview

The hosts are quite above the visitors in the classification table. Brighton has 14 points more than Bournemouth, and as of the 22nd game week of the 2023/24 season, the hosts can allow their fan base to dream with some European action in the next season.

The visitors, on the other hand, would be relegated if the EPL ended today as they are the 18th team in the English Premier League classification table as of February 4th, 2023.

Brighton Analysis

The hosts have won 4 out of their last 5 games, including two victories against Liverpool, the first on January 14th valid for the EPL, and the last one in the FA Cup.

The hosts also collected points on the road against Everton, which, in spite of the crisis of the Blues, remains a relevant achievement.

Considering the last 5 EPL home games of Brighton, they have collected 7 out of 15 possible points.

The last time they lost at home in the Premiership was against Arsenal on December 31st, and prior to that only before the World Cup against Aston Villa.

Bournemouth Analysis

The visitors lost their 5 last EPL games, and considering the home games too, they have collected just one point in the last 15 possible points.

Definitely not a great form, and the betting markets aren’t oblivious to this reality

Betting Analysis and Preview: Brighton v Bournemouth

As expected, the hosts are the favourite teams in the 1×2 match result market with odds of 1.34 to collect the 3 points.

The odds for a match draw are 4.8 on average, and the odds for an unlikely triumph of the visitors are 8.75 on average.

Games with such a favourite host tend to drive the over/under lines up a bit, and that’s what we got here: over/under 2.75 @ 1.9/2.1, respectively.

In the Asian Handicap professional betting markets, the hosts have big odds of -1.5 @2.06 on average to win this game.

That’s interesting because -1.5 handicaps usually drive the o/u prices up more than they have here, but the market is pretty educated over/under wise these days, and the qualitative difference between the sides does not always translate as huge o/u lines these days.

Maybe there’s some value in the big positive 1.5 handicap of Bournemouth, but that would be a brave bet unless the bettor is looking to hedge quite early in the 1st half. Anyways, that would still be quite a brave bet considering the poor recent record of the visitors in the English Premier League as well as other competitions.

EPL Analysis: Betting Previews (Round 22)

We’re bringing to you from game week 22 betting previews to all games of the round.

Check out some fresh betting previews for other Saturday games of the best national league in the world in the links below.

Everton – Arsenal: Betting Preview
Aston Villa – Leicester: Betting Preview
Brentford – Southampton: Betting Preview
Wolves – Liverpool: Betting Preview